The Apple Blossom figure stands out as one of the slowest speed figs that Zenyatta has run in the last two years, and over at the DRF, publisher Steven Crist has a blog entry indicating that it was the lowest Apple Blossom figure in twenty-one years. Brad Cox, who trains Monomoy Girl, recalled the proceedings in 2010. Suppose that in Zenyatta's next race we see one or two other fillies that ran Beyers of 96 or 97 in their last race, would we conclude that these fillies are more likely winners than Zenyatta? I) before tackling the boys again in such prestigious races as the grade I Whitney and Jockey Club Gold Cup prior to the BC Classic. G3-Las Cienegas Hcp. The abscence of knowing "how a race was run" based off of a speed figure is not as big of a problem if you only follow top level racing where players can easily watch the performances of each horse throughout the year. She's a superstar and she knows it. G1-Arkansas Derby Zenyatta thrilled the fans at Oaklawn Park April 9, 2010, with a 4 1/4-length runaway victory in the Apple Blossom Invitational Stakes for her 16th consecutive win. 98, *Click on the race name to be taken to the race chart at DRF.com. OP KEE 94 G1-Blue Grass Stakes KEE Over at the Racing Post (UK) there is an excellent weekly column that analyzes the top performances every week based off of the Racing Post Ratings. The Apple Blossom was pushed to Friday from the weekend before to accommodate Zenyatta and Rachel Alexandra. The figure is limited not just by how the individual horse performs (Zenyatta) but also as to how the other horses perform in the key race and in their previous races. Franny Freud N. nedrow EOG Dedicated. SA And Down The Stretch They Come - Horse Racing, Zenyatta's Apple Blossom, Speed Figures, and Performance Ratings, lowest Apple Blossom figure in twenty-one years. The 6-year-old mare came from behind in her usual running style Friday to tie the modern mark shared by 1948 Triple Crown winner Citation and 1995-96 horse of the year Cigar. Race* May 17, 2018 - This Pin was discovered by Patrick Wearing. Race Video Coady Photography 98 Both Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta have had success at Oaklawn with the latter winning the 2008 Apple Blossom and Rachel Alexandra capturing both … Without Rachel Alexandra, the Apple Blossom purse reverted to $500,000, with Zenyatta earning $300,000. She lagged behind early as usual before making a … II), where she could also meet Zenyatta, and the Ogden Phipps (gr. G3-Beumont Karelian Crist notes the following in that entry: Zenyatta is based in California, where she has won 13 races on synthetic surfaces. zenyatta wins the 2010 apple blossom handicap! G1-Apple Blossom Posted: April 10, 2010 . Touching Beauty (Eclipse Sportswire) Superstar Zenyatta was shipped to Hot Springs, Ark., for the 2010 Apple Blossom Invitational Stakes with a perfect record of 15 wins in as many starts. The "+" sign after the rating indicates that the performance may actually have been better than it appeared, which makes sense considering that Zenyatta was asked for very little run as she passed her outclassed rivals in the stretch. G3-Shakertown KEE This number gives us similar information that her 95 Beyer does, in that it was a good, but not great performance. It also indicates that she could produce a much higher rating in her next race. Live TV. Zenyatta tied Citation and Cigar with her 16th consecutive win April 9 in the $500,000 Apple Blossom Invitational (gr. Line of David With the purse reverting to $500,000, the Apple Blossom attracted a field of just five, with Zenyatta the overwhelming favorite at 1-20. But though Zenyatta raced primarily in California, it was in Arkansas where she first emerged as a national star. But generally, big speed figures in races on dirt come in races where the early pace is very, very fast. Going by this guide, Zenyatta's win in the Apple Blossom equated to a good Group 2 level performance. 77 Race 16. Another factor in this equation is the concept of pace since speed figures are heavily dependent upon the early fractional splits; a fast early pace will generally produce a fast final time while a slow early pace will typically produce a slower final time. Sure, we see race shapes where the leaders go very slow in the beginning and them come home very quickly, producing a quick overall clocking. On April 9, 2010, Zenyatta romped in the Grade I $500,000 Apple Blossom Invitational at Oaklawn Park and increased her undefeated record to 16--0. September 8, 2010. KEE Apple Blossom Invitational Handicap (G1) April 9, 2010. Oaklawn Park. April 5, 2008 Oaklawn Park Finish – 1st Zenyatta, Brownie Points, Ginger Punch, Lemon Drop Mom, Clever Strike and Kettleoneup meet in the Apple Blossom. In the case of the Apple Blossom, it was clear to anyone that saw the race that this mare barely had to break a sweat to win, and while the final time may have been slow, it's clear she can run much, much faster. Apr 9, 2010 #3. Silver Timber That's an important fact to remember about speed figures. Zenyatta The Apple Blossom figure stands out as one of the slowest speed figs that Zenyatta has run in the last two years, and over at the DRF, publisher Steven Crist has a blog entry indicating that it was the lowest Apple Blossom figure in twenty-one years. The ability to win under a variety of pace conditions will likely produce a wide variety of speed figures, and the conditions under which those figures are earned seem much more critical than the raw number itself. That's not to suggest that I believe Zenyatta's figure is wrong, however I think it does indicate a limitation of its usefulness. 95 Of course not. If we just went by the figure we might erroneously conclude that she's vulnerable or on a downward cycle because without knowing the context of the race (the pace, the abilities of the other contenders, etc.) take me back to zenyatta’’s sweet sixteen in the 2010 apple blossom at oajlawn! Zenyatta also made her season debut off a layoff of more than four months, but she dazzled with a sparkling return that will make her the overwhelming favorite for the Apple Blossom, a race she won in 2008 in her only previous start on a dirt track. First things first, below are last week's graded stakes winners and their respective speed figures, as provided by the DRF. Together Indy Speed figures are an invaluable part of the handicapping process, and at the highest levels of the game they are a pretty reliable indicator of thoroughbred ability. RPRs can change once they are assigned if the quality of the field turns out to be much stronger than originally thought. Her only win on a dirt track came in the 2008 Apple Blossom, which … Zenyatta: Race 4, Apple Blossom Handicap 4/5/2008 - YouTube G2-Jenny Wiley Take note of this passage from Crist's piece: The 6th race was the only other route on the card, but falls right into line with the day's other races, and it's simply impossible to give the Apple Blossom a stronger final-time figure. Asmussen and Jackson said on Sunday that Rachel Alexandra will not be ready for the Apple Blossom. mofome Banned. Zenyatta tied Thoroughbred racing legends Citation and Cigar with her 16th consecutive win April 9 in the $500,000 Apple Blossom Invitational Handicap (gr. In speed figure analysis, if Zenyatta was given a higher figure then the horses behind her would also get a higher figure, which as Crist notes, would have not been consistent with the figures that those horses earn from race to race. 98 With a chip on her shoulder and a huge point to prove, I.E., that the wrong horse was crowned HOY for 2009, this day and the Apple Blossom will belong to the queen of racing, the mighty mare from the west coast, Zenyatta. Zenyatta won her 16th straight race in the $500,000 Apple Blossom Invitational Handicap, tying the winning streaks of Cigar and Citation. Zenyatta returns to cheers, dances appropriately, takes a couple of bows, etc. G1-Maker's Mark Mile Zenyatta in the Apple Blossom post parade at Oaklawn Park Racetrack in Hot Springs, Arkansas on April 9, 2010. Thread starter nydoc; Start date Apr 9, 2010; N. nydoc EOG Dedicated. Stories. your own Pins on Pinterest AQU Taken at face value, Crist notes that Zenyatta's figure can't be higher because of how another race was run earlier in the day at the same track; one other race helped to decide how fast Zenyatta ran. Zenyatta remains unbeaten with a professional score in the Apple Blossom.Order This Photo, Download Today's Edition Stately Victor The visual aspect of how a horse runs can tell us plenty about that horse's abilities and the relative depth of the field they were facing. G2-Comely apple blossom stakes -zenyatta. As a deep closer who is ridden positionally (i.e. Of course, we see that most often in turf racing where speed figures (and pace figures) are much less reliable than in dirt racing. Still, track president Charles Cella came out ahead. On another part of the spectrum are performance ratings, or ratings not based entirely on the final time but instead a combination of factors. Zenyatta lost her final race, a second attempt in the Breeders’ Cup Classic, by only a nose. If Zenyatta wasn't Zenyatta, but instead just "Jane Claimer" at your local track, and she just ran the slowest speed figure in two years at her highest level of competition, what would our conclusion be about her performance? Scores. A simple guide as to what kind of performance an RPR is describing is this handy chart that you can find at the Daily Racing Form. After rompingto her 16th consecutive victory in the Apple Blossom Invitational,racing’s queen stood before her adoring public and bowed her headtwice.At times more human than horse, Zenyatta high-stepped her way tothe starting gate Friday in her distinctive Radio City Rockettestyle. Zenyatta picked up $300,000 for her victory in the Apple Blossom, which pushed her career earnings to $5,924,580. They are also locked into producing a number based on a small sample size of similarly run races on that same day (ie - routes, sprints, etc.). G1-Vinery Madison KEE KEE Race ratings, either from the Racing Post or Timeform, are assigned to a horse based on factors such as time, class, weight, and depth of competition. G2-Count Fleet If the Apple Blossom doesn’t happen, there is nothing wrong with starting the year off against fillies in races such as the La Troienne (gr. Zenyatta wins Apple Blossom to go to 16-0. Discover (and save!) Beyer Apr 9, 2010 #2. I just feel that this early in the racing season, racing at 1-1/8th instead of 1-1/16th, and all entries carrying equal weight of 123 pounds, that Zenyatta will ultimately prove to be just too much … A horse like Zenyatta, or essentially any horse that is able to win off of a hot or a cold pace, is (in my opinion) a horse that should have their speed figures taken with a grain of salt. Re: apple blossom stakes -zenyatta no horses here, but bol to you ny! 98 Home. 106 Custom for Carlos It's a much more difficult proposition if you don't have the luxury of watching races, all the races, of the top contenders in a specific race. On November 9, 2009, Zenyatta became the first female to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic and the first horse ever to win two different Breeders’ Cup races. Wasted Tears This post is more or less a review of last weeks stakes results but I wanted to include a discussion of a couple of different articles that have come out over the last couple of days discussing Zenyatta's performance in the Apple Blossom in connection with speed figures and performance ratings. But at other levels they are just a piece of the puzzle and without being placed in proper context (class) they can be lead a player in the wrong direction. Her runaway triumph in the Apple Blossom was breathtaking, yet pretty much par for the course for Zenyatta, foreshadowing the historic and sustained success she would later enjoy. I) at Oaklawn Park April 5. Coady Photography Commemorative 18x24 Poster - ZENYATTA The Apple Blossom Invitational Stakes Grade I 45th Running Oaklawn Park Hot Springs, Arkansas 4/9/2010 Purse $500,000 1-1/8 Miles 1:50.3 Jerome S. & Ann Holbrook Moss, Owners John A. Shirreffs, Trainer Mike Smith, Up Taptam (2nd) Be Fair (3rd) $2.10 $2.10 Copy Zenyatta ended up running in the Apple Blossom, winning the Grade 1 for the second time in her career. Zenyatta improves to 16-0 with Apple Blossom win. But we might do that for a more unknown horse. Zenyatta improves to 16-0 with Apple Blossom win. 103 Winner drop back to last regardless of the fractions), she is going to run weak final-time figures sometimes, especially when the pace is slow and the competition can be disdainfully dispatched with a single furlong of top effort. I) (, Medina Spirit Positive Overshadows 146th Preakness, Baffert Horses Clear First Round of Maryland Testing, Army Wife Marches Home in Black-Eyed Susan, Justify Half Brother Stage Raider Delivers in Allowance, Handicapping: Preakness, Black-Eyed Susan and More, Baffert Trainees Clear All Rounds of Maryland Testing, Horseplayers File Lawsuit Against Baffert, Zedan, Plus News, Analysis, Entries, Results & Replays. She made her usual move on the final turn and coasted to a 4 + 1 ⁄ 2 … 96 KEE we'd likely be led astray in our analysis. Finish – 1st. The Apple Blossom is the premiere race for older females on dirt early in the year. By Jason Shandler ; April 6, 2010 86 Apr 9, 2010 #1. The Apple Blossom Handicap is a Grade I American Thoroughbred horse race for fillies and mares that are four years old or older, run under handicap conditions over a distance of one and one-sixteenth miles on the dirt track held annually in April at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas.The event currently carries a purse of $1,000,000. She holds the all-time North American earnings record for a filly or mare and the all-time record for Breeders’ Cup earnings. Performance ratings also incorporate how the race was run, but there's a little more leeway to assign a higher rating and the ratings of the other horses in the field do not have to be tied together. Unzip Me HOT SPRINGS, Ark. 86 OP Dr. Zic G2-Commonwealth OP The runner-up, 35-1 Taptam, gets an 88 for the race, consistent with her career tops of 88, 87 and 85 in three of her last five starts. In an effort that thoroughly delights the crowd of 44,973 at Oaklawn Park on Friday, the great Zenyatta runs her perfect record to 16-0 with another flawless performance. I think the second part of that quote was the most critical portion of the entire post because it's, in my opinion, a critical flaw of speed figures - they don't tell you how the race was run or the ease or difficulty of the trip. Learn More or Download the App, Zenyatta extended her unbeaten streak to four races and defeated a champion in doing so when she took the $500,000 Apple Blossom Handicap (gr. Run at Oaklawn going 1 1/16 miles on the dirt, the Apple Blossom was first run in 1958 before becoming an annual race in 1968. She is a 6-year-old daughter of Street Cry. Apr 9, 2010 #2. Achievements. This week's installment takes a look at Zenyatta, who earned a RPR of 123+ for her win in the Apple Blossom last Friday. Apr 9, 2010 #1. any other horse worth a place bet in hopes of a huge overlay? 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