It’s time to find things to disagree with! Scott Alexander is out with his (late) 2021 predictions. You know what that means. Epistemic Status: Writing this quickly and… Mediagazer presents the day's must-read media news on a single page. She majored in philosophy. The media business is in tumult: from the production side to the distribution side, new technologies are upending the industry. If this isn’t a Star Chamber, I don’t know what is, and no prominent Elect aired, on their own steam and in their own name, the slightest problem with this petition. The most we can say about earnings of Substack's top writers created: 2020-11-15; modified: 2020-11-18 5 random top posts > Most Important Slate Star Codex Posts > Gwern's Most Important Writing (in essays, tweets, book reviews, and other forms) > 17-20: a Retrospective on Four Years in College > Don't believe self-reported data > The Effects on Cognition of Sleeping 4 Hours per … Dominic Cummings, the brain genius of Brexit, just happens to be a LessWrong/Slate Star Codex rationalist. This portion was a proposal for a committee of antiheresy, pure and simple. Scott has the tough job here. Here's a philosopher trying to explain Dom to other philosophers: Dominic's Basilisk, part 1. All I’m doing is saying where I definitely disagree with him. When applied to actual real world stuff, this worked out about as #classicdom as you'd expect. As time goes on, many readers will wonder whether the paragraph is a hoax. And the canonical example: Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. Full disclosure, almost everything I know about Predictive Processing I learned on Slate Star Codex, so take this with a grain of salt. The conjunction fallacy (also known as the Linda problem…) is a formal fallacy that occurs when it is assumed that specific conditions are more probable than a single general one. He’s putting out a hundred plus predictions with probabilities attached. Given that predictive processing purports to describe what is happening at a really low level, if correct, it almost certainly is how other vertebrate cognition works.
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